Overall, less than a quarter (24%) of Americans say it has improved their financial situation — 22% say it has made things worse and 34% say it’s made no difference at all. As such, few said their discretionary spending increased because of the tax law. Nearly 6 in 10 (59%) said their spending did not change.
Just 11% said they spent more on things like dining out, shopping and entertainment. Data from the federal government showed an increase in spending early in the second quarter of 2018, but spending changes followed a similar trajectory in the four previous years, so it’s difficult to connect the peak to the tax law changes.
Likewise, a jump in the personal savings rate in the early months of 2018 could be seen as evidence taxpayers were able to set aside more money after the tax bill was signed into law.
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Aria Nguyen 10 minutes ago
However, there was a similar high point in the first months of 2015, 2016 and 2017. Back to top
However, there was a similar high point in the first months of 2015, 2016 and 2017. Back to top
Few adjusted their tax withholding
For some, the change in taxes withheld from each paycheck could put them at risk of overpaying or underpaying, something they likely won’t realize until it’s time to file their tax return. Overpaying results in a bigger refund, but essentially means you’re giving the government an interest-free loan.
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Madison Singh 19 minutes ago
Underpaying leaves you with a tax bill. The IRS recommends people fill out a new W-4 each year or wh...
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Henry Schmidt 12 minutes ago
“While we all tend to ignore the W-4 form, it can have an outsize effect on our financial situatio...
Underpaying leaves you with a tax bill. The IRS recommends people fill out a new W-4 each year or when their personal situation changes. A W-4 is the form that tells employers how much of your paycheck to hold out for taxes.
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Christopher Lee 31 minutes ago
“While we all tend to ignore the W-4 form, it can have an outsize effect on our financial situatio...
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Liam Wilson 60 minutes ago
Only 16% of Americans changed their federal tax withholding within the past year as a result of the ...
“While we all tend to ignore the W-4 form, it can have an outsize effect on our financial situation. That’s especially true this year because of all the tax law changes,” Coombes says. “The worrisome thing is that some folks may get hit with a bigger-than-expected tax bill this year — use a tax estimate calculator now, so you can prepare for that bill if necessary,” she says.
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Andrew Wilson 30 minutes ago
Only 16% of Americans changed their federal tax withholding within the past year as a result of the ...
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Oliver Taylor 80 minutes ago
That’s roughly $680 less than the average individual federal refund in fiscal year 2017, according...
Only 16% of Americans changed their federal tax withholding within the past year as a result of the new tax law, according to the survey. The youngest were most likely to make an adjustment — 28% of millennials changed their federal tax withholding versus 15% of Generation X and 9% of baby boomers. While it’s too late to do anything about the amount withheld in 2018, taxpayers can use a withholding calculator to see if adjustments are needed for the 2019 tax year.
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Taxpayers hedge their bets on refunds
Americans anticipating a federal income tax refund on their 2018 taxes say they expect to receive $1,861, on average.
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Luna Park 3 minutes ago
That’s roughly $680 less than the average individual federal refund in fiscal year 2017, according...
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Mason Rodriguez 17 minutes ago
Nearly one-fourth (23%) say they’re expecting less. But many taxpayers will see most of the benefi...
That’s roughly $680 less than the average individual federal refund in fiscal year 2017, according to IRS data. It could be that they’re being cautious with their optimism. Just 17% of those planning to file 2018 returns expect to get more money back for their federal refund than they would have gotten had the new tax law not been passed, according to our survey.
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Liam Wilson 22 minutes ago
Nearly one-fourth (23%) say they’re expecting less. But many taxpayers will see most of the benefi...
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Madison Singh 3 minutes ago
According to its estimates, those who earn the least will see the biggest gain in their tax refunds ...
Nearly one-fourth (23%) say they’re expecting less. But many taxpayers will see most of the benefits of the tax law at refund time, according to an analysis by Wells Fargo Securities’ research team.
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Elijah Patel 46 minutes ago
According to its estimates, those who earn the least will see the biggest gain in their tax refunds ...
According to its estimates, those who earn the least will see the biggest gain in their tax refunds this year. Still, 39% of those filing who earn less than $50,000 think they’ll get the same or less back this year than they would have without the new tax law, according to our survey.
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Tax refunds are earmarked for savings debt
Income tax refunds are an annual windfall for some families, and those expecting a refund generally have plans for the taxes they overpaid throughout the year. But those plans may not involve running out to buy the newest flat-screen television; just 11% of those expecting a federal refund plan to treat themselves to a gift they wouldn’t have otherwise purchased.
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Henry Schmidt 56 minutes ago
Saving, paying down debt and catching up on bills are far more popular. » Looking to invest your re...
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Liam Wilson 8 minutes ago
One-tenth (10%) of those expecting a federal refund said they’re unsure of how they’ll use it. T...
Saving, paying down debt and catching up on bills are far more popular. » Looking to invest your refund? See NerdWallet’s best online brokers for 2019.
One-tenth (10%) of those expecting a federal refund said they’re unsure of how they’ll use it. They could take their cues from those with savvy plans: Seed an emergency fund.
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Sophie Martin 25 minutes ago
Ideally, you have a few months of living expenses set aside for unexpected expenses. But even a $500...
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Chloe Santos 10 minutes ago
Income tax refunds are a good way to tackle high-interest credit cards and other costly debts, espec...
Ideally, you have a few months of living expenses set aside for unexpected expenses. But even a $500 income tax refund creates a good buffer if you don’t already have an emergency fund. Pay down high-interest debt.
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Victoria Lopez 16 minutes ago
Income tax refunds are a good way to tackle high-interest credit cards and other costly debts, espec...
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Lily Watson 47 minutes ago
Putting $1,861 — the average amount folks are expecting in this year’s refund — into a traditi...
Income tax refunds are a good way to tackle high-interest credit cards and other costly debts, especially if you’re otherwise only making small payments. Grow your money. While nearly one-third (32%) of those expecting a federal refund say they’ll put it “into savings,” the type of savings you use can make a big difference.
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Isabella Johnson 123 minutes ago
Putting $1,861 — the average amount folks are expecting in this year’s refund — into a traditi...
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Victoria Lopez 122 minutes ago
Invest in retirement. The money you save is easily accessible in a savings account, but if you don�...
Putting $1,861 — the average amount folks are expecting in this year’s refund — into a traditional savings account would earn about $34 over 20 years, assuming 0.09% interest, the current average among these account types. Putting that same refund into a high-interest savings account, one that earns 2%, would grow $914 in 20 years.
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Andrew Wilson 14 minutes ago
Invest in retirement. The money you save is easily accessible in a savings account, but if you don�...
Invest in retirement. The money you save is easily accessible in a savings account, but if you don’t need that money in the next five years, you can see even greater returns by investing.
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David Cohen 36 minutes ago
An IRA opened with $1,861 could grow to $5,969 in 20 years, assuming a 6% average rate of return —...
An IRA opened with $1,861 could grow to $5,969 in 20 years, assuming a 6% average rate of return — and more, if you continue to add to the account. “It’s great to see a fairly high portion of people plan to put their refunds to good use,” Coombes says.
“While it may not seem all that fun to stash money away for a long-term goal like retirement, putting some money aside for the future can actually feel really good — and watching that money grow in an IRA, thanks to investment returns, feels even better.”
» MORE: NerdWallet’s best IRA accounts of 2019
Click here to read part two of this study, published on April 2, 2019. Back to top
METHODOLOGY
The latest tax law survey was conducted online within the United States by The Harris Poll on behalf of NerdWallet from Dec. 11-13, 2018, among 2,005 U.S.
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Chloe Santos 81 minutes ago
adults ages 18 and older. The earlier tax law survey was conducted online within the United States b...
adults ages 18 and older. The earlier tax law survey was conducted online within the United States by The Harris Poll on behalf of NerdWallet from Jan. 9-11, 2018, among 2,086 U.S.
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Ethan Thomas 68 minutes ago
adults ages 18 and older. These online surveys are not based on a probability sample and therefore n...
adults ages 18 and older. These online surveys are not based on a probability sample and therefore no estimate of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
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Christopher Lee 113 minutes ago
For complete survey methodology, including weighting variables and subgroup sample sizes, please con...
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Ethan Thomas 120 minutes ago
Returns on an initial IRA investment of $1,861 were calculated using no additional contributions, a ...
For complete survey methodology, including weighting variables and subgroup sample sizes, please contact Megan Katz at [email protected]. For all surveys referenced, generations are defined as: millennials, ages 18-34; Generation X, ages 35-54; and baby boomers, ages 55 and older. Interest earned on savings accounts deposits was calculated using 0.09% interest for a traditional savings account versus 2% on a high-interest account.
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Audrey Mueller 59 minutes ago
Returns on an initial IRA investment of $1,861 were calculated using no additional contributions, a ...
Returns on an initial IRA investment of $1,861 were calculated using no additional contributions, a 20-year period and a 6% average rate of return.